IMD’s ‘good news’ for farmers vs Skymet’s warning of deficient rains

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted a ‘near-normal’ monsoon this year. The rainfall from June to September is likely to be 96 per cent of the 50-year average of 89 cm with a model error of +/-5%, it said. “There is good news in the monsoon that is likely to be near normal”. M Rajeevan, secretary at the ministry of earth sciences, was quoted as saying.

But that prediction is a tad different from the forecast from Skymet. A private firm, which predicted ‘below normal’ rains this year. Why does it think so? Skymet cited the developing El Nino phenomenon, which means a rise in temperature in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. It added that it is the first indication of the kind of rainfall that can be expected during the monsoon season.

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